Every hypothesis tested on the research split, logged against the project's 2,000-hypothesis budget. Scans never touch Validation or the Vault — they are layer-3 measurement, not execution. A null result logged here is a completed experiment, not a failure of the machinery: it retires a hypothesis and spends one line of the budget either way.
| Date | Name | Split | Hypotheses | Verdict | Links |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | level-reaction | research 2017-08-17..2022-12-31 | 16 (cum 57) | NULL all 16 cells: touch-bounce ~0 everywhere; break-continuation dead, mildly inverted (failed-break reversion -0.13 ATR/4h logged, not promoted). Shuffle-null degenerate for one-directional conditions (on record). | doc ↗ · results ↗ |
| 2026-07-23 | b4-fit-mentor-stops-vs-r7-levels | Track M descriptive (mentor-trades join, n=20) | 1 (cum 41) | B4-fit NOT CONFIRMED: median 0.5309 ATR (null p5 0.2808) | — |
| 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-23-displacement-event-scan | research 2017-08-17..2022-12-31 | 6 (cum 40) | ETHUSDT REPLICATION CONFIRMED: disp5 +0.720 ATR/+19.4bp vs BTC +0.670/+19.2, 5/6 years, boot CI>0 - crypto-class structure (gold still inverts). | doc ↗ |
| 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-23-displacement-event-scan | research 2017-08-17..2022-12-31 | 6 (cum 34) | REPLICATION REFUTED: signed 1h NEGATIVE all disp levels (-0.22..-0.54 ATR, n=61/30 at disp4/5) on 10y gold — BTC effect is instrument-specific; NOT promoted, no Validation look | doc ↗ |
| 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-23-displacement-event-scan | gbpusd 2024-01..2026-07 | 6 (cum 28) | NOT COMPARABLE | doc ↗ |
| 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-23-displacement-event-scan | research 2017-08-17..2022-12-31 | 6 (cum 22) | M1: underpowered null (n=36/22, 2.5y) - replication NOT met, not refuted. M2 abs: REPLICATES (rand-p<=0.015). | doc ↗ |
| 2026-07-23 | 2026-07-23-displacement-event-scan | research 2017-08-17..2022-12-31 | 6 (cum 16) | M1 signed continuation: STRONG disp4/5 15m-1h, all 4 nulls passed, 5/6 yr stable, plateau, n=517/282. M2 vol elevation: confirmed. | doc ↗ |